This table shows the percentage of players with a given record that have gone on to make the top 8. Data is drawn from all "massive" fifteen-round GPs from August 2003 to August 2019. Here "massive" means exceeding 2048 players. There are 38 such events. Players with byes aren't included until they appear, so a player with two byes who wins their first match in round 3 will count for the "3-0" box but not the "1-0" or "2-0". As such the "1-0" box tallies only people who played in and won round 1. Mouseover or tap the table to show the data underlying that cell.

Here are links to the corresponding tables for small, medium, large, and massive GPs.
at conclusion of round...
x-0 x-0-1 x-1 x-1-1 x-2 x-1-2 x-2-1 x-3
15 1000/0 1002/2 10015/15 100117/117 43168/388 00/3 00/119 00/1372
14 1002/2 1002/2 94126/134 4318/41 21156/717 00/9 00/181 00/2246
13 9315/16 423/7 64148/231 1914/72 10124/1218 00/17 00/289 00/3329
12 6725/37 253/12 40169/422 1014/131 4.693/2039 00/32 00/413 00/4742
11 4637/79 144/28 24186/758 5.913/221 1.964/3356 00/47 00/565 00/6321
10 3354/162 8.24/49 13181/1377 3.513/367 0.9652/5402 00/47 00/686 00/7443
9 2273/329 6.45/78 7.3182/2506 1.911/567 0.3933/8433 00/99 00/1150 00/11491
8 15102/671 5.89/154 3.8166/4410 0.454/893 0.1823/12635 00/167 00/1598 00/15640
7 10136/1352 2.57/280 1.9141/7593 0.304/1339 <0.116/18025 00/234 00/2050 00/18651
6 6.0163/2736 1.99/484 0.96122/12713 <0.11/1899 <0.19/23915 00/312 00/2390 00/19925
5 3.8209/5533 0.877/804 0.4285/20295 <0.11/2572 <0.12/28871 00/344 00/2418 00/18145
4 2.2249/11207 0.152/1342 0.1751/30212 <0.11/2929 <0.11/30196 00/349 00/2041 00/13049
3 1.0214/21235 00/1940 <0.123/39398 00/2789 00/24420 00/213 00/1186 00/6228
2 0.2661/23305 00/2265 <0.13/38221 00/1949 00/14865
1 <0.130/33211 00/2390 <0.12/33189