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This table shows the percentage of players with a given record that have gone on to make the top 8. Data is drawn from all "large" fifteen-round GPs from August 2003 to March 2019. Here "large" means 1537-2048 players. There are 67 such events. Players with byes aren't included until they appear, so a player with two byes who wins their first match in round 3 will count for the "3-0" box but not the "1-0" or "2-0". As such the "1-0" box tallies only people who played in and won round 1. Mouseover or tap the table to show the data underlying that cell.

Here are links to the corresponding tables for small, medium, large, and massive GPs.
at conclusion of round...
x-0 x-0-1 x-1 x-1-1 x-2 x-1-2 x-2-1 x-3
15 1003/3 1006/6 10021/21 100116/116 81345/422 9213/14 1524/160 00/1604
14 10012/12 1006/6 96126/130 6835/51 42342/810 162/12 4.210/237 00/2613
13 10026/26 625/8 72183/253 3429/83 20283/1390 8.02/25 1.76/355 00/3871
12 9448/51 335/15 48226/470 2028/139 9.5221/2332 2.61/38 0.965/519 00/5507
11 8276/92 3210/31 28245/872 8.420/238 4.7180/3841 1.51/65 0.292/697 00/7296
10 60111/183 159/57 16264/1587 5.021/420 2.1129/6186 1.51/68 00/858 00/8605
9 39149/377 9.810/102 9.2263/2847 1.913/685 1.099/9761 1.21/82 00/1330 00/13481
8 23181/766 6.611/167 5.2265/5090 0.737/956 0.4770/14738 0.581/172 00/1854 00/18619
7 15235/1559 4.312/282 2.7234/8789 0.213/1445 0.2450/21044 0.361/276 00/2390 00/22125
6 8.9281/3147 2.211/508 1.4211/14684 <0.11/2098 0.1131/28033 00/373 00/2797 00/23927
5 5.3341/6378 1.211/898 0.73172/23460 00/2803 <0.112/33863 00/404 00/2918 00/21993
4 3.1406/12953 0.487/1470 0.33116/34815 00/3269 <0.17/35226 00/371 00/2446 00/15871
3 1.4327/23726 0.235/2192 0.1357/44793 00/3174 <0.11/28829 00/228 00/1330 00/7676
2 0.3899/26370 <0.12/2596 <0.114/43587 00/2193 00/17137
1 0.1349/37244 <0.11/2500 <0.12/37240