This table shows the percentage of players with a given record that have gone on to make the top 8. Data comes from all 16 round split-format PTs (ones with six rounds of draft and eight rounds of constructed). There have been 37 such tournaments, from PT Honolulu 2009 to Mythic Championship VI. Only boxes saying "0" have zero instances. Some multi-draw columns were omitted due to small sample sizes. Mouseover or tap the table to show the data underlying that cell.

See the July 26, 2017 blog post for more information about some of the outlier performances.
at conclusion of round...
x-0 x-1 x-1-1 x-2 x-2-1 x-3 x-3-1 x-4
 
16 LSV1/1 1001/1 1002/2 1001/1 10021/21 10018/18 99155/156 1741/233
15 1002/2 1003/3 1003/3 10016/16 10056/56 93150/161 4823/47 6.636/545
14 1002/2 10010/10 1004/4 9873/74 6312/19 54159/293 3318/54 1.916/831
13 1002/2 10023/23 1003/3 79105/132 348/23 27132/475 1715/85 0.516/1173
12 1004/4 9542/44 715/7 57124/217 2611/41 1297/749 7.58/106 0.183/1631
11 1008/8 8262/75 467/15 35133/374 9.65/52 6.473/1144 4.06/150 <0.11/2139
10 9416/17 6181/132 288/28 21133/622 6.35/79 2.847/1656 2.55/197 00/2687
9 7923/29 43107/248 207/35 11119/998 4.15/121 1.228/2346 1.33/233 00/3044
8 6137/60 29127/437 128/63 6.094/1567 2.44/169 0.6721/3146 0.381/260 00/3705
7 5057/113 17137/785 5.35/94 3.276/2356 1.43/214 0.3313/3977 0.411/242 00/3823
6 3173/231 10149/1357 2.23/138 1.757/3407 0.411/243 0.157/4554 0.441/229 00/3348
5 21100/460 6.0137/2292 1.22/170 0.9443/4592 0.782/257 0.157/4576 00/157 00/2235
4 13126/936 3.4125/3700 0.932/215 0.6536/5571 0.471/213 <0.11/3670 00/60 00/893
3 8.6163/1898 1.9106/5612 0.461/217 0.3922/5600 00/106 00/1823
2 5.2197/3775 1.289/7530 00/155 0.197/3723
1 3.2244/7621 0.6650/7568